PSG vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
8%
2.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 0
ATM
52%
22%
26%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PSG
5 - 0
INT
21%
22%
57%
|
99 | 100 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
PSG
3 - 0
REI
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PSG
3 - 1
AUX
81%
13%
7%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MPL
1 - 4
PSG
8%
14%
78%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 1
SES
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
BOT
3 - 2
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 0
UCH
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
BOT
14%
26%
60%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |